Crop Yield Forecast for Kazakhstan in 2025
Long-term weather forecasting in the context of climate change is a challenging task, and experts agree that neither modern technologies nor traditional signs provide reliable guidance. April 2025 is already breaking temperature records across the Eurasian continent, raising concerns among farmers about potential summer droughts. However, Kazakhstan’s agricultural sector approaches the sowing campaign with cautious optimism due to favorable conditions established in late 2024 and early 2025.
Last autumn brought abundant rainfall, and a mild winter with moderate soil freezing (25-50 cm) helped retain moisture. Effective snow retention ensured good absorption of meltwater into the arable land. According to Kazhydromet, snow cover in grain-growing regions was within the norm: 15-35 cm in the north, reaching 38-63 cm in some areas of Akmola and North Kazakhstan regions. April temperatures exceeded the norm by 1-2°C, but precipitation, either at or above average levels, prevented excessive soil drying.
At the start of the sowing campaign, soil moisture reserves are assessed as satisfactory or optimal (80-100% of the norm). In Akmola region, moisture in a one-meter soil layer is expected to be 150-190 mm, in Kostanay — 120-190 mm, in North Kazakhstan — 130-205 mm, in Karaganda — 140-200 mm, in Pavlodar — 90-150 mm, and in East Kazakhstan — 160-270 mm. These findings are supported by experts from the A. Baraev Scientific-Production Center for Grain Farming, who recommend that farmers intensify weed control measures, as weeds are likely to thrive due to the warm and wet spring, and carry out mechanical soil treatments to conserve moisture.
The optimal sowing period for wheat in the Akmola region is from May 14 to May 27, allowing crops to benefit from peak July rainfall during their high moisture-demand phase. However, climatic uncertainty requires farmers to be prepared for any scenario, including drought. In this context, modern technologies, such as Perry modular grain dryers (https://pis.com.ua/en/zernosushilki-perry/), play a crucial role.
This equipment ensures efficient grain drying even in conditions of high humidity or unstable weather, minimizing losses and preserving crop quality. The modular design allows the equipment to be tailored to the needs of individual farms, while high energy efficiency reduces costs. The use of such dryers is particularly relevant in the face of potential summer droughts, when the quality and preservation of the harvest depend on prompt post-harvest processing.
